Jeremy Lin might leave the Knicks for the Rockets (4-yr, $30mm). Goran Dragic left the Rockets for the Suns (4-yr, $34mm). Steve Nash was traded from the Suns to the Lakers (3-yr, $27mm). Now if Ramon Sessions leaves the Lakers for the Knicks, then we will have made a full circle! How do these point guards compare using advanced metrics?
Jeremy Lin (23-yr, ’13 WP48 0.144, Proj WARP 2.6, 2.8, 2.9, 2.8, ORAPM 0.5, DRAPM 0.9)
Goran Dragic (25-yr, ’13 WP48 0.099, Proj WARP 3.6, 3.8, 3.9, 3.8, ORAPM 0.4, DRAPM -0.7)
Ramon Sessions (25-yr, ’13 WP48 0.094, Proj WARP 4.2, 4.6, 4.8, 4.9, ORAPM 1.4, DRAPM -1.4)
Steve Nash (37-yr, ’13 WP48 0.128, Proj WARP 5.7, 4.5, 3.4, ORAPM 4.7, DRAPM 0.4)
Nash is the best of these point guards now, but could age rapidly. I think his contract (3-yr, $27mm) is fair, so Phoenix did well to obtain four draft picks for him. Dragic seems slightly overpriced at 4-yr, $34mm. I would rather have Jeremy Lin, especially since he pays for himself in terms of merchandising and advertisements. Sessions could be a bargain pick up for a patient buyer.